Estimation

  • Hans Huang
  • 3 Minutes
  • October 31, 2019

The 72 theorem

In financial when we make an investment on x annual rate for y years, if x * y = 72, the return would be double.

Principal Interest Rate Period Return Deviation
$1000 2% 36Y $2040 +2.00%
$1000 3% 24Y $2033 +1.75%
$1000 4% 18Y $2026 +1.13%
$1000 6% 12Y $2012 +0.60%
$1000 8% 9Y $1999 -0.05%

As a programmer, we are familiar that double 10 times will return ~1000x (2^10 = 1024), then double 20 times will return one ~million x.

Combine with the 72 theorem, it’ll be very helpful when estimate the index increase.